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Published on 25 August 202610 mins

PayPal acquisition status: Where the Stripe and Advent bid stands

The Airwallex Editorial Team

PayPal acquisition status: Where the Stripe and Advent bid stands

Key takeaways

  • PayPal's board turned down more than $53 billion from Stripe and Advent International in July 2026, calling $60.50 a share too low.¹

  • The PayPal board wants closer to $70 a share to consider a sale, and talks were still live in mid-August 2026, so nothing is signed and PayPal still trades independently.

  • For businesses seeking an alternative to PayPal, Airwallex is a global payments and financial platform that settles like-for-like in 20+ currencies, so foreign revenue pays foreign suppliers without converting twice.

Stripe and the private equity firm Advent International offered more than $53 billion for PayPal in July 2026, and PayPal's board turned it down as too low. Talks have continued since, which makes this the largest live takeover story in payments and the reason PayPal's share price no longer tracks its own results. This guide covers where the offer stands, what PayPal's numbers look like underneath it, and what a change of owner would mean for a business that takes payments.

Has PayPal been acquired in 2026?

PayPal has not been acquired, and talks are still ongoing. It trades on the Nasdaq under the ticker PYPL, nothing has been signed, and no acquisition has been announced, but over the summer the interest stopped being a rumor and turned into a priced offer. Stripe and the private equity firm Advent International bid $60.50 a share on July 15, 2026, a 28% premium on the previous close and more than $53 billion for the company, with about $50 billion of financing committed by JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley.

The board said no, calling the price inadequate, and later reporting put its own number closer to $70 a share. Talks did not collapse, and in mid-August the Wall Street Journal reported the two sides negotiating a higher price with a deal possibly weeks away.² None of it is confirmed by PayPal, so treat every figure as reporting rather than fact, and note that PYPL closed at $62.30 on August 20, 2026, above the offer on the table.

Date

Event

What it meant

February 3, 2026

Q4 2025 results miss; Alex Chriss out, Enrique Lores named CEO, David Dorman named board chair

The board said the pace of change was not in line with expectations

February 23, 2026

Bloomberg reports takeover interest after the stock slump

No bidder named; interest in the whole company and in individual assets

February 24, 2026

Bloomberg names Stripe as a possible acquirer of PayPal or parts of it

Stripe had disclosed a $159 billion valuation days earlier, against PayPal's roughly $43 billion

March 1, 2026

Enrique Lores takes over as president and CEO

An internal elevation: Lores was already PayPal's independent board chair

April 29, 2026

PayPal reorganizes into three operating units

Checkout, Consumer and Venmo, and Payment Services and Crypto

May 5, 2026

Q1 2026 results; $1.5 billion cost reduction program announced

Roughly 20% of the workforce cut over two to three years

July 15, 2026

Stripe and Advent offer $60.50 a share, more than $53 billion

The first formal, financed bid

July 16, 2026

Board reported to see the offer as inadequate

Reported counter-expectation closer to $70 a share

July 28, 2026

Q2 2026 results; full-year profit guidance raised

Non-GAAP EPS guidance lifted to about $5.38

August 14, 2026

Wall Street Journal reports talks advancing on a higher price

A deal described as potentially weeks away

Who is the current CEO of PayPal?

The current chief executive of PayPal is Enrique Lores, who took over on March 1, 2026. He was not an outside hire. Lores chaired PayPal's board first, and before that came three decades at HP Inc. that took him from engineering intern to chief executive and through the split creating Hewlett Packard Enterprise.

Lores has moved fast, and mostly in one direction. PayPal reorganized into three operating units in April 2026, announced a $1.5 billion cost reduction and a roughly 20% workforce cut in May, and wound down PayPal Ventures in June. That is what you do to a company you are tightening up, and it is also what you do to one you are preparing to sell.

What is PayPal's AI and agentic commerce strategy?

PayPal's strategy under Lores is what the company calls AI-driven commerce, and it means moving the business past the checkout button. The goal is transactions that happen inside chat interfaces and through AI agents, where an agent finds a product, settles the price and pays over PayPal's rails without anyone opening an app. Two workstreams carry most of the weight, and neither is as far along as the framing suggests.

Agentic commerce and the OpenAI partnership

Agentic commerce at PayPal runs on the Agentic Commerce Protocol, adopted in October 2025. Think of it as a shared language, written with OpenAI among others, that lets an AI agent and a merchant transact inside a chat window, with PayPal's own protocol server underneath so tens of millions of merchants connect without building anything themselves. Merchant catalogs were promised in ChatGPT during 2026, and nothing has been said about general availability since, which makes this announced rather than shipped.

PYUSD and stablecoin scale

PYUSD is PayPal's dollar-backed stablecoin, and it is the piece of the strategy currently going backwards. Circulation reached 70 markets in March 2026 and peaked above $4.3 billion, then contracted to roughly $2.8 billion. The wallet is still being wired to work across digital assets, PYUSD included, and the growth story that made the token interesting has reversed.

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Why is PayPal leadership considering a sale?

PayPal leadership is considering a sale because the market stopped paying for the business. An 80% share price drop over five years makes staying independent hard to sell to a board, and PayPal's forward price-to-earnings ratio sat near 8.5x in early 2026, the kind of multiple reserved for terminal decline rather than a company throwing off more than $6 billion of free cash flow a year.

The deal talk has re-rated it, and none of that came from the business. PYPL closed at $62.30 on August 20, 2026, call it $53 billion on shares outstanding and a multiple back near 11.5x, against a 52-week range of $38.46 to $79.22. Here is the tell: the average analyst target sits below the current price, so what you are looking at is deal probability rather than a turnaround.

The stagnation of branded checkout

Branded checkout is the problem, and it is the part of PayPal everyone recognizes. The button grew 2% on a currency-neutral basis in the second quarter of 2026 and accounts for 28% of total payment volume, against 6% growth for branded experiences once in-store is added. Neither is a growth rate that earns a premium multiple, and the gap between them says most of PayPal's remaining momentum is happening away from the button itself.

Three forces are eating the core. Middle-income consumers are cutting the discretionary spending that drives volume, retail softness in Germany and other major European markets has taken the shine off international growth, and Apple Pay and Google Pay have claimed the default position on the phone, where double-tapping a side button beats logging into an account. PayPal's share of US digital wallet spend has been sliding since 2023 as a result.

The valuation disconnect

PayPal is printing cash and losing favor at the same time. It processed $1.79 trillion in payment volume in 2025 with $6.4 billion of adjusted free cash flow, beat expectations in the second quarter of 2026, and management raised full-year profit guidance off the back of it.³ Cash generation is not the problem; the problem is that almost none of the growth comes from the part of the business the brand is built on.

Metric

FY 2025 actual

Q2 2026

FY 2026 guidance

Total payment volume

$1.79 trillion

$486.4 billion, up 10%

Single-digit growth

Net revenue

$33.2 billion

$8.68 billion, up 5%

Low single-digit growth

Transaction margin dollars

$15.5 billion

$3.9 billion, up 1%

About $15.6 billion

Non-GAAP EPS

$5.31

$1.38

About $5.38

Adjusted free cash flow

$6.4 billion

$1.83 billion

$6 billion or more

Active accounts

439 million

439 million

Not guided

Why is Stripe considering a PayPal acquisition?

Stripe is considering a PayPal acquisition because the market has already inverted the two companies. It disclosed a $159 billion valuation in February 2026 after an employee tender offer, a 74% jump on its previous mark, and processed $1.9 trillion of payment volume in 2025, roughly four times PayPal's valuation on comparable volume.⁴ What Stripe does not have is the consumer side, which is where the two-sided network argument starts.

Closing the consumer gap

Stripe owns the backend and nothing else. It is the plumbing for millions of merchants, with no consumer relationship and no wallet sitting on hundreds of millions of phones. PayPal owns the front end, with 439 million active accounts at the end of the second quarter of 2026 and a brand consumers recognize at checkout.

Stripe has also been building the rails a combined company would run on. Its Tempo blockchain, developed with Paradigm, went live in March 2026 with a protocol for machine and AI-agent payments, and its stablecoin arm Bridge won preliminary approval for a national bank trust charter in February 2026. Put the two together and one owner holds a consumer wallet, a merchant processor, a stablecoin issuer and a settlement chain.

Braintree and market consolidation

Braintree is the asset Stripe most wants and most likely has to give up. It is PayPal's unbranded processing unit and Stripe's closest competitor for enterprise accounts, and PayPal does not break it out on its own. What it does report is that unbranded payment service provider volume, which Braintree dominates, made up 45% of total payment volume in the second quarter of 2026 and grew 13%, with Braintree itself in the mid teens.

That is a lot of volume at thin margins. PayPal's blended transaction margin was 44.9% in the quarter, and management has consistently described processing as margin-dilutive. An acquirer with better unit economics would argue the volume is worth more in its hands, which is exactly why regulators are likely to want it sold.

The regulatory wall

Antitrust is the real obstacle, not price. A deal has to clear US review and almost certainly the European Commission, jurisdiction between the Federal Trade Commission and the Department of Justice is unsettled for a transaction shaped like this, and the combined entity would process an estimated $3.7 trillion a year.⁵ Two issues do the damage: one owner sitting on both sides of the same transaction, and an unusual concentration of purchase data in a single company.

Expect remedies rather than a block. Braintree is the obvious divestiture because it competes head-on with Stripe's core business, and reporting suggests Stripe and Advent have already considered separating it, with Venmo named as a second candidate. Advent has carved payments businesses out before, which is part of why a private equity partner is in the consortium at all.

Stripe vs PayPal: which is better for business growth?

Choosing between Stripe and PayPal comes down to what happens after the sale, not the sale itself. Both accept a card competently, and the money's path through your business afterwards is where they separate. For a full cost breakdown, read this guide to PayPal vs. Airwallex: Comparison of Fees and Features.

The problem with fees and forced conversions

Both providers get expensive the moment you sell across a border, and the headline rates understate it. PayPal's rate depends on the product: 3.49% plus $0.49 for branded PayPal Checkout, 2.99% plus $0.49 for unbranded Standard Card Payments, and 2.89% plus $0.29 for Advanced Card Payments, with cross-border adding 1.50% on top and currency conversion charged separately again at 4.00% or 3.00%. Stripe is simpler and cheaper on that last axis, at 2.9% plus $0.30 domestic, 1.5% more for international cards, and 1% for conversion.

Conversion is where the real money goes, and Stripe's 1% against PayPal's 3.00% or 4.00% compounds harder than any processing rate. The trap is what happens after the sale settles: providers convert your foreign revenue into your home currency at a markup, then convert it back at another markup when you pay an international supplier. Paying twice to end up where the money started is the forced conversion trap, and it stays invisible on a pricing page because it only shows up across two transactions.

Free PayPal Fee Calculator

Conversion rates and consumer trust

Checkout conversion is where PayPal still earns its place. A shopper who has never bought from your site will often click the PayPal button rather than type a card number into it, and that instinct shows up directly in your abandonment rate. Stripe's Link does the same job by auto-filling saved details, without the same global brand recognition behind it.

PayPal vs Airwallex vs Stripe

When you compare PayPal's business account with competitors, the difference between a legacy gateway and a treasury platform gets obvious fast. The three profiles below show where each one actually fits.

Feature

PayPal

Stripe

Airwallex

Best for

Consumer trust and mobile conversion

Developer-led startups and marketplaces

Global treasury and FX efficiency

Key advantage

439 million active accounts

API-first infrastructure

Like-for-like settlement in 20+ currencies

Domestic card rate

3.49% + $0.49 on PayPal Checkout

2.9% + $0.30

2.8% + $0.30

Cross-border cards

Base rate + 1.50%

2.9% + $0.30, plus 1.5% for international cards

4.30% + $0.30

Currency conversion

3.00% or 4.00%, by transaction type

1%

0.5% above interbank for major currencies, 1% for all others

Local receiving accounts in-country

No

No

Yes, 20+ currencies

Monthly fee

$0

$0

$0 on the Explore plan

Stripe

Stripe owns the backend. Developer-friendly tools and modular APIs make it the default for SaaS platforms and complex marketplaces, with documentation that is good and setup fast enough for a technical team to ship in a day. Where it costs you is foreign revenue, between forced conversion at a markup and higher fees on international cards, and the full Stripe vs Airwallex comparison has the detail.

PayPal

PayPal is a household name that consumers trust on sight. Having the button at checkout can cut cart abandonment, especially for mobile shoppers who would rather not type card details into an unfamiliar site, and 439 million active accounts is a distribution advantage nobody else has. What it costs you is predictability, between currency conversion at 3.00% or 4.00% and a fee structure that gets hard to model at volume.

Airwallex

Airwallex is a global payments and financial platform for businesses, built around Global Accounts that hold, receive and spend in 20+ currencies natively rather than converting on every leg. That is what keeps the forced conversion trap closed for global eCommerce founders and borderless SMEs protecting margin, alongside interbank FX rates and 0% foreign transaction fees on multi-currency corporate cards. The tradeoff is that it is digital only, with no physical branches and no overdraft facilities.

What are the best alternatives to PayPal?

The best alternatives to PayPal depend on what you need the platform to do. Slowing growth and takeover noise have plenty of merchants looking, and the three below cover the most common reasons they leave. For more on where the money should land once you collect it, read this guide to the best business bank accounts for eCommerce.

Best for global eCommerce and SaaS: Airwallex

Airwallex is built to be the financial operating layer for businesses that live on digital rails, from card payments and ACH to marketplace payouts. Holding, receiving and spending in 20+ currencies natively is what keeps the forced conversion trap closed, and direct integrations with QuickBooks and Xero mean global transactions reconcile automatically. Interested in scaling your treasury? You can open an Airwallex business account in minutes and run global finances from one place.

Best for enterprise omnichannel: Adyen

Adyen is the enterprise answer, and it prices like one. Its published pricing is a fixed processing fee of $0.13 plus Interchange++ plus a payment method fee, which is 0.60% for Visa and Mastercard globally and 3.3% plus $0.10 for American Express in North America, all of it described as indicative and quoted individually. The model is genuinely transparent at volume, and it does not come with the multi-currency account and treasury features Airwallex offers.

Best for solo entrepreneurs and personal use: Wise

Wise is honest about its exchange rate and quieter about everything else. It does not add a markup to the mid-market rate, which is accurate and is not the whole cost: Wise Business charges a conversion fee starting from 0.23% and varying by currency, a one-off $31 setup fee, and fixed fees on incoming wires. It is a clean product for simple transfers, and it does not carry the payment acceptance infrastructure or the spend management tooling a growing company needs.

Domestic banks: JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and similar

Traditional banks still win on two things: depositing physical cash, and talking to someone face to face. Everything else costs you. A typical outbound international wire at a large bank runs about $45, with an FX markup of 3% or more on top.

Verdict: what a PayPal sale means for your business

A PayPal sale would mean less for your business than the headlines suggest, at least directly. Ownership does not reprice a merchant agreement on its own, and a deal this size takes a year or more to clear regulators even if the two sides agree a number next month. Nothing about today's rates on either platform changes because of a bid.

What is worth acting on is the thing the deal is actually about: both the bidder and the target make most of their cross-border money on conversion, not on the headline processing rate. PayPal charges 3.00% or 4.00% depending on the transaction and Stripe charges 1% on top of an international card surcharge, both billed separately from the rate on the pricing page. The better answer is not to convert at all, which is what Airwallex settling like-for-like in 20+ currencies gets you, with FX at 0.5% above interbank for major currencies and 1% for all others.

Frequently asked questions about the PayPal acquisition

Is PayPal public?

PayPal is public, trading on the Nasdaq under the ticker PYPL, and as of August 2026 it was still independent with the Stripe and Advent bid unresolved.

Who is buying PayPal in 2026?

Nobody is buying PayPal yet. Stripe and the private equity firm Advent International put more than $53 billion on the table in July 2026 and the board called the price inadequate. By mid-August the two sides were reported to be negotiating a higher one.

How much did Stripe offer for PayPal?

Stripe offered $60.50 a share on July 15, 2026, or more than $53 billion for the company. Reporting put the board's own expectation nearer $70, and PayPal has confirmed none of it publicly.

Why did PayPal stock drop 20% in February 2026?

PayPal stock dropped 20% because fourth-quarter 2025 results landed on February 3 and missed on revenue and profit, guidance pointed to a decline in adjusted profit, and Alex Chriss left as chief executive the same day.

Does Elon Musk still own PayPal?

Elon Musk does not own PayPal and has not been involved for more than two decades. He co-founded one of the companies that became PayPal, and he exited after the eBay sale in 2002.

Is Stripe better than PayPal for business?

Stripe is better than PayPal for some businesses and worse for others. Deep developer tooling and complex payment flows point to Stripe. Checkout conversion from a brand shoppers already trust points to PayPal.

How can a private company like Stripe buy a public one like PayPal?

A private company buys a public one with equity, debt and a private equity partner. The July 2026 offer carried roughly $50 billion of committed financing from JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley, plus about $17 billion of equity split evenly between Stripe and Advent.

What is PayPal's stock price target?

PayPal's stock price target averages roughly $60 on a 12-month analyst view, which sits below the $62.30 close on August 20, 2026, and a stock trading through its own consensus target is being priced on the deal rather than the business.

Will there be a Stripe and PayPal stablecoin merger?

A Stripe and PayPal stablecoin merger is likely if the deal happens. Stripe's Tempo blockchain could end up as the rails for PayPal's PYUSD, putting a single dollar-backed token across both a merchant processor and a consumer wallet.

Will regulators block a Stripe and PayPal merger?

Regulators have not said whether they will block a Stripe and PayPal merger, and no agency has commented publicly. Antitrust specialists expect a serious review on both sides of the Atlantic, centered on one owner controlling both merchant processing and the consumer wallet. Most think a forced sale of Braintree or Venmo is likelier than an outright block.

Is JPMorgan buying PayPal?

JPMorgan is not buying PayPal, it is lending against the deal. The bank is one of two reported to have committed financing to the Stripe and Advent offer, alongside Morgan Stanley.

Sources

  1. https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/15/stripe-advent-offer-to-buy-paypal-for-more-than-53-billion-reuters.html

  2. https://techcrunch.com/2026/08/14/talks-to-sell-paypal-to-stripe-and-advent-are-heating-up/

  3. https://s205.q4cdn.com/875401827/files/doc_financials/2026/q2/PYPL-2Q-26-Earnings-Release.pdf

  4. https://stripe.com/newsroom/news/stripe-2025-update

  5. https://ionanalytics.com/insights/dealreporter/stripe-paypal-deal-would-likely-face-regulatory-test-over-payments-scale-data-concerns/

The material presented here is for informational purposes only and does not constitute legal, regulatory, taxation, or investment advice. Readers should engage their own advisors or counsel for advice unique to their circumstances.

The Airwallex Editorial Team

Airwallex’s Editorial Team is a global collective of business finance and fintech writers based in Australia, Asia, North America, and Europe. With deep expertise spanning finance, technology, payments, startups, and SMEs, the team collaborates closely with experts, including the Airwallex Product team and industry leaders to produce this content.

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